The Impact of Supply Chain Delays on Inventory Levels and Sale Demand Fulfillment: Analyzing the Effects of Lead Times and In-Transit Quantities

A Quantitative Exploration of Logistics Efficiency and Inventory Optimization

Authors

Volume: 14 | Issue: 4 | Pages: 15700-15710 | August 2024 | https://doi.org/10.48084/etasr.7834

Abstract

Efficient inventory management is essential for maintaining a balance between supply and demand in various industries. This research study aims to quantitatively examine the impact of supply chain delays, with a specific emphasis on lead times and in-transit amounts, inventory levels, and the ability to meet sales demands. Mathematical modeling and statistical analysis are utilized to create prediction models that assess the impact of variations in lead time and quantities in transit on inventory stability and fulfillment rates. The study used regression analysis to ascertain the relationships between the indicated parameters and inventory outcomes. Also, machine learning algorithms like Random Forest and Linear Regression are applied to predict possible disruptions and optimize inventory levels. The methodology followed focuses on the Tri-Model Fusion Stacking approach, which combines various models to improve the predicted accuracy and offer a more comprehensive analysis. The main goal of this research is to provide practical insights that help organizations optimize their inventory management techniques, resulting in cost reduction and enhanced service levels. The findings aim to simplify the modification of inventory management techniques in light of up-to-date supply chain information, providing a notable improvement in the resources available to supply chain experts.

Keywords:

inventory management, supply chain delays, predictive analytics, machine learning, sales forecasting

Downloads

Download data is not yet available.

References

Y. A. Davizon, J. M. Amillano-Cisneros, J. B. Leyva-Morales, E. D. Smith, J. Sanchez-Leal, and N. R. Smith, "Mathematical Modeling of Dynamic Supply Chains Subject to Demand Fluctuations," Engineering, Technology & Applied Science Research, vol. 13, no. 6, pp. 12360–12365, Dec. 2023.

P. Pourhejazy, "Production Management and Supply Chain Integration," in The Palgrave Handbook of Supply Chain Management, J. Sarkis, Ed. New York, NY, USA: Springer, 2024, pp. 315–340.

M. H. Salah Eddine, T. Saikouk, and A. Berrado, "Modelling the impact of payment delays on the performance of multi-echelon supply chains: the case of grocery distribution in Morocco," Production Planning and Control, vol. 34, no. 5, pp. 407–422, Apr. 2023.

G. Zheng, L. Kong, and A. Brintrup, "Federated machine learning for privacy preserving, collective supply chain risk prediction," International Journal of Production Research, vol. 61, no. 23, pp. 8115–8132, Dec. 2023.

U. K. Kanike, "Factors disrupting supply chain management in manufacturing industries," Journal of Supply Chain Management Science, vol. 4, no. 1–2, pp. 1–24, Jun. 2023.

V. Ladva, C. Vaghela, M. Shukla, T. Kshatriya, and N. Dholakia, "An Analysis on various Machine Learning Algorithms (AI) & Nature Inspired Algorithms for modern Inventory Management," in 14th International Conference on Computing Communication and Networking Technologies, Delhi, India, Jul. 2023, pp. 1–8.

A. Nikseresht and K. Ziarati, "A Demand Estimation Algorithm for Inventory Management Systems Using Censored Data," Engineering, Technology & Applied Science Research, vol. 7, no. 6, pp. 2215–2221, Dec. 2017.

Z. Yi, Z. Liang, T. Xie, and F. Li, "Financial risk prediction in supply chain finance based on buyer transaction behavior," Decision Support Systems, vol. 170, Jul. 2023, Art. no. 113964.

K. Salas-Navarro, J. M. Romero-Montes, J. Acevedo-Chedid, H. Ospina-Mateus, W. F. Florez, and L. E. Cardenas-Barron, "Vendor managed inventory system considering deteriorating items and probabilistic demand for a three-layer supply chain," Expert Systems with Applications, vol. 218, May 2023, Art. no. 119608.

Z. Liu and T. Nishi, "Data-driven evolutionary computation for service constrained inventory optimization in multi-echelon supply chains," Complex & Intelligent Systems, vol. 10, no. 1, pp. 825–846, Feb. 2024.

Z. Guan, Y. Mou, and J. Zhang, "Incorporating risk aversion and time preference into omnichannel retail operations considering assortment and inventory optimization," European Journal of Operational Research, vol. 314, no. 2, pp. 579–596, Apr. 2024.

I. Georgiev, D. Grozev, I. Beloev, M. Milchev, and V. Gladkova, "Enhancing inventory optimization and management for automotive repair shops," AIP Conference Proceedings, vol. 3129, no. 1, Feb. 2024, Art. no. 070002.

Z. Wang, H. Wang, and X. Chen, "The impact of delayed fixed-price payment in the decentralised project supply chain," International Journal of Systems Science: Operations & Logistics, vol. 11, no. 1, Dec. 2024, Art. no. 2308584.

D. Ren, D. Gallego-Garcia, S. Perez-Garcia, S. Gallego-Garcia, and M. Garcia-Garcia, "Modeling Human Decision-Making Delays and Their Impacts on Supply Chain System Performance: A Case Study," in 13th International Conference on Intelligent Human Computer Interaction, Kent, OH, USA, Dec. 2021, pp. 673–688.

Q. Hu, "Bullwhip effect in a supply chain model with multiple delivery delays," Operations Research Letters, vol. 47, no. 1, pp. 36–40, Jan. 2019.

Y. Li, L. Liu, W. Li, and W. Li, "Stability analysis of supply chain members time delay decisions considering corporate social responsibility," International Journal of General Systems, Feb. 2024.

"Predict products back-order to manage service level - dataset by amitkishore," data.world. https://data.world/amitkishore/can-you-predict-products-back-order.

M. S. Shahbaz, S. Sohu, F. Z. Khaskhelly, A. Bano, and M. A. Soomro, "A Novel Classification of Supply Chain Risks: A Review," Engineering, Technology & Applied Science Research, vol. 9, no. 3, pp. 4301–4305, Jun. 2019.

Downloads

How to Cite

[1]
Ladva, V., Shukla, M. and Vaghela, C. 2024. The Impact of Supply Chain Delays on Inventory Levels and Sale Demand Fulfillment: Analyzing the Effects of Lead Times and In-Transit Quantities: A Quantitative Exploration of Logistics Efficiency and Inventory Optimization. Engineering, Technology & Applied Science Research. 14, 4 (Aug. 2024), 15700–15710. DOI:https://doi.org/10.48084/etasr.7834.

Metrics

Abstract Views: 582
PDF Downloads: 629

Metrics Information