Civil Aircraft Emissions Study and Pollutant Forecasting at a Brazilian Airport


  • D. A. Pamplona Aeronautics Institute of Technology, Sao Jose dos Campos, Brazil
  • C. J. P. Alves Aeronautics Institute of Technology, Sao Jose dos Campos, Brazil
Volume: 10 | Issue: 1 | Pages: 5217-5220 | February 2020 |


In recent decades, the emissions of air transport industry pollutants and their impact on human health attract increased focus. The continued growth of air traffic and public awareness has transformed this field into one of the most important topics of commercial aviation. In the next 20 years, the estimated global demand for air transport will grow by an average of 5%. One of the direct consequences would be the increase in emissions, affecting significantly the communities around airports. The aim of this paper is to present an econometric model forecast of pollutant emissions generated by domestic flights in Salvador Airport. This model includes a derivative study of demand until the year 2020, considering the number of flights and emissions generated in the takeoff and landing cycles. Results present a predictive model for the number of pollutant emissions.


pollution, air transportation, forecast


Download data is not yet available.


S. Saridemir, U. Agbulut, “Combustion, performance, vibration and noise characteristics of cottonseed methyl ester–diesel blends fuelled engine”, Biofuels, Vol. 10, pp 1-10, 2019 DOI:

U. Agbulut, S. Saridemir, S. Albayrak, “Experimental investigation of combustion, performance and emission characteristics of a diesel engine fuelled with diesel–biodiesel–alcohol blends”, Journal of the Brazilian Society of Mechanical Sciences and Engineering, Vol. 41, pp. 389, 2019 DOI:

U. Agbulut, “Turkey’s electricity generation problem and nuclear energy policy”, Energy Sources, Part A: Recovery, Utilization, and Environmental Effects, Vol. 41, No. 18, pp. 2281-2298, 2019 DOI:

U. Agbulut, S. Saridemir, “A general view to converting fossil fuels to cleaner energy source by adding nanoparticles”, International Journal of Ambient Energy, Vol. 40, pp. 1-6, 2019 DOI:

U. Agbulut, H. Bakir, “The investigation on economic and ecological impacts of tendency to electric vehicles instead of internal combustion engines”, Duzce Universitesi Bilim ve Teknoloji Dergisi, Vol. 7, No. 1, pp. 25-36, 2019 DOI:

Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, “2006 IPCC guidelines for national greenhouse gas inventories”, Meeting Report: Industrial Processes and Product Use, Washington DC, USA, July 27-29, 2004

D. A. Pamplona, A. V. M. de Oliveira, “Air delay costs and its impacts: airport demand study and simulation scenarios of economic welfare”, Ciencia & Engenharia, Vol. 23, No. 1, pp. 73-82, 2014 (in Portuguese) DOI:

F. Vichi, M. Frattoni, A. Imperiali, C. Balducci, A. Cecinato, M. Perilli, P. Romagnoli, “Civil aviation impacts on local air quality: a survey inside two international airports in central Italy”, Atmospheric environment, Vol. 142, pp. 393-405, 2016 DOI:

S. H. L. Yim, G. L. Lee, I. H. Lee, F. Allroggen, A. Ashok, F. Caiazzo, S. D. Eastham, R. Malina, S. R. H. Barret, “Global, regional and local health impacts of civil aviation emissions”, Environmental Research Letters, Vol. 10, No. 3, Article ID 034001, 2015 DOI:

M. Grote, I. Williams, J. Preston, “Direct carbon dioxide emissions from civil aircraft”, Atmospheric Environment, No. 95, pp. 214-224, 2014 DOI:

M. Masiol, R. M. Harris, “Aircraft engine exhaust emissions and other airport-related contributions to ambient air pollution: a review”, Atmospheric Environment, Vol. 95, pp. 409-455, 2014 DOI:

G. Schurmann, K. Schafer, C. Jahn, H. Hoffmann, M. Bauerfeind, E. Fleuti, B. Rappengluck, “The impact of NOx, CO and VOC emissions on the air quality of Zurich airport”, Atmospheric Environment, Vol. 41, No. 1, pp. 103-118, 2007 DOI:

N. Hudda, M. C. Simon, W. Zamore, D. Brugge, J. L. Durant, “Aviation emissions impact ambient ultrafine particle concentrations in the greater Boston area”, Environmental Science & Technology, Vol. 50, No. 16, 2016 DOI:

F. Shirmohammadi, M. H. Sowlat, S. Hasheminassab, A. Saffari, G. Ban-Weiss, C. Sioutas, “Emission rates of particle number, mass and black carbon by the Los Angeles International Airport (LAX) and its impact on air quality in Los Angeles”, Atmospheric Environment, Vol. 151, pp. 82-93, 2017 DOI:

S. L. Penn, S. T. Boone, B. C. Harvey, W. Heiger-Bernays, Y. Tripodis, S. Arunachalam, J. I. Levy, “Modeling variability in air pollution-related health damages from individual airport emissions”, Environmental Research, Vol. 156, pp. 791-800, 2017 DOI:

M. Stafoggia, G. Cattani, F. Forastiere, A. D. M. Di Bucchianico, A. Gaeta, C. Ancona, “Particle number concentrations near the Rome-Ciampino city airport”, Atmospheric Environment, Vol. 147, pp. 264-273, 2016 DOI:

A. Ashok, H. Balakrishnan, S. R. H. Barrett, “Reducing the air quality and CO2 climate impacts of taxi and takeoff operations at airports”, Transportation Research Part D: Transport and Environment, Vol. 54, pp. 287-303, 2017 DOI:

M. Kousoulidou, L. Lonza, “Biofuels in aviation: Fuel demand and CO2 emissions evolution in Europe toward 2030”, Transportation Research Part D: Transport and Environment, Vol. 46, pp. 166-181, 2016 DOI:

N. Hudda, M. C. Simon, W. Zamore, J. L. Durant, “Aviation-related impacts on ultrafine particle number concentrations outside and inside residences near an airport”, Environmental Science & Technology, Vol. 52, No. 4, pp. 1765-1772, 2018 DOI:

K. Rypdal, W. Winiwarter, “Uncertainties in greenhouse gas emission inventories: evaluation, comparability and implications”, Environmental Science & Policy, Vol. 4, No. 2-3, pp. 107-116, 2001 DOI:

A. A. Siyal, S. R. Samo, Z. A. Siyal, K. C. Mukwana, S. A. Jiskani, A. Mengal, “Assessment of air pollution by PM10 and PM2.5 in Nawabshah City, Sindh, Pakistan”, Engineering, Technology & Applied Science Research, Vol. 9, No. 1, pp. 3757-3761, 2019 DOI:

Q. B. Jamali, M. T. Bhatti, Q. A. Qazi, B. H. Kaurejo, I. A. Qazi, S. H. Solangi, A. S. Jamali. “Analysis of CO2, CO, NO, NO2, and PM particulates of a diesel engine exhaust”, Engineering, Technology & Applied Science Research, Vol. 9, No. 6, pp. 4912-4916, 2019 DOI:

International Civil Aviation Organization, “Local Air Quality”, available at:, 2015


Additional Files

How to Cite

D. A. Pamplona and C. J. P. Alves, “Civil Aircraft Emissions Study and Pollutant Forecasting at a Brazilian Airport”, Eng. Technol. Appl. Sci. Res., vol. 10, no. 1, pp. 5217–5220, Feb. 2020.


Abstract Views: 360
PDF Downloads: 228 Presentation Letter Downloads: 0

Metrics Information
Bookmark and Share

Most read articles by the same author(s)